Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lehtera on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 11 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Lehtera shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Lehtera 50.7% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Lehtera leads 15-12 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Lehtera 77.4%
Defensive zone
Lehtera 54.9%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 65.4%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 66.8%
33.2%
66.8%
Horvat
Lehtera
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
15
(27 meetings)
12
15
Horvat
Lehtera
Last 10: Horvat 3-7 Lehtera
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
0
11
Horvat
Lehtera
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
3
Horvat
Lehtera
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
1
Horvat
Lehtera
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Lehtera
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
50.4% (2,714)
+3.5%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
55.8% (339)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
41.3% (104)
+5.9%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lehtera shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. Lehtera is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,033).
Home / Away
Horvat
Lehtera
Home
56.1% (8,423)
53.7% (1,668)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
47.4% (1,489)
By Period
Horvat
Lehtera
P1
54.1%
53.2%
P2
54.5%
50.6%
P3
55.0%
48.1%
OT
49.6%
54.3%
Final 5 min
55.2%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2017 | 3 | 18:31 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 2 | 16:30 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 2 | 11:18 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 1 | 19:29 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 1 | 14:12 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 1 | 06:39 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 25, 2016 | 3 | 06:30 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 25, 2016 | 2 | 07:49 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Mar 25, 2016 | 1 | 15:25 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 25, 2016 | 1 | 08:31 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Mar 25, 2016 | 1 | 08:06 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 3 | 08:56 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 2 | 11:14 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 2 | 04:16 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 1 | 15:59 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 1 | 07:19 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 1 | 03:46 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 1 | 01:37 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 11:12 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 07:45 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |