Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 54.1%). Look for Jokinen on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Jokinen 54.0% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Jokinen leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Jokinen 69.1%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 59.3%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 70.6%
Result
Jussi Jokinen favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
Horvat
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Horvat
Jokinen
Last 10: Horvat 2-8 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
5
Horvat
Jokinen
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Horvat
Jokinen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
0
1
Horvat
Jokinen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
53.8% (1,931)
+0.1%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
55.9% (506)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
54.5% (279)
-7.3%
On penalty kill, Jokinen has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. Jokinen is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,735).
Home / Away
Horvat
Jokinen
Home
56.1% (8,423)
57.8% (1,369)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
50.4% (1,357)
By Period
Horvat
Jokinen
P1
54.1%
53.4%
P2
54.5%
54.4%
P3
55.0%
53.7%
OT
49.6%
66.1%
Final 5 min
55.2%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 03:18 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 06:35 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 2 | 13:15 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 1 | 09:06 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 10, 2016 | 2 | 13:22 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 11, 2016 | OT | 00:18 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 1 | 06:32 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 20, 2015 | OT | 03:27 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 20, 2015 | 3 | 09:02 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 20, 2015 | 1 | 17:07 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 20, 2015 | 1 | 15:44 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |