Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (58% H2H, 19 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Hayes 47.7% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 29-23 in 52 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 86.8%
Defensive zone
Horvat 80.2%
Neutral zone
Horvat 82.2%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 83.1%
83.1%
16.9%
Horvat
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
23
(52 meetings)
29
23
Horvat
Hayes
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
11
8
Horvat
Hayes
19 total
Defensive Zone
Even
10
10
Horvat
Hayes
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
8
5
Horvat
Hayes
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
47.5% (6,708)
+6.4%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
51.7% (702)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
45.3% (697)
+1.9%
On power play, Horvat has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Home / Away
Horvat
Hayes
Home
56.1% (8,423)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Horvat
Hayes
P1
54.1%
47.5%
P2
54.5%
47.6%
P3
55.0%
47.9%
OT
49.6%
54.1%
Final 5 min
55.2%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 10:30 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 04:32 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 11:32 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 19:16 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 16:52 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 10:38 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 02:54 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 00:42 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 18:51 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 18:37 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 00:46 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 3 | 17:26 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 2 | 10:16 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 15:48 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 13:42 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 11:06 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 02:29 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |