Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Celebrini on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.1% vs Celebrini 48.7% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Celebrini leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Celebrini 58.6%
Defensive zone
Celebrini 56.8%
Neutral zone
Celebrini 59.2%
Result
Macklin Celebrini favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Horvat
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Horvat
Celebrini
Last 10: Horvat 4-6 Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Celebrini
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
2
3
Horvat
Celebrini
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Celebrini
4
5
Horvat
Celebrini
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (731)
47.8% (993)
+7.9%
Power Play
63.4% (243)
54.1% (111)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (107)
56.0% (25)
-7.4%
On power play, Horvat has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Horvat is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (633).
Horvat shoots left. Celebrini is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (775).
Home / Away
Horvat
Celebrini
Home
59.4% (537)
48.5% (538)
Away
54.0% (544)
48.7% (591)
By Period
Horvat
Celebrini
P1
59.9%
48.1%
P2
54.5%
46.8%
P3
56.1%
51.0%
OT
55.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
59.4%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
56.7%
Celebrini
48.0%▲
44.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 13:51 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 10:52 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 10:27 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 04:43 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 10:16 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 02:48 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 08:53 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 08:48 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 08:39 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 05:22 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 19:28 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 12:11 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |