Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Goc shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Goc 52.3% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goc 53.7%
Defensive zone
Goc 77.0%
Neutral zone
Goc 66.9%
Result
Marcel Goc favored at 68.1%
31.9%
68.1%
Horvat
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Horvat
Goc
Last 6: Horvat 2-4 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Goc
0
1
Horvat
Goc
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
0
2
Horvat
Goc
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Goc
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
53.0% (3,301)
+0.9%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
58.0% (314)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
47.4% (728)
-0.2%
On power play, Horvat has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. Goc is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,768).
Home / Away
Horvat
Goc
Home
56.1% (8,423)
53.9% (2,079)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
51.0% (2,296)
By Period
Horvat
Goc
P1
54.1%
51.9%
P2
54.5%
53.1%
P3
55.0%
52.4%
OT
49.6%
44.9%
Final 5 min
55.2%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2015 | 3 | 18:29 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 30, 2015 | 1 | 09:24 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 3 | 06:07 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 1 | 16:36 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 3 | 12:27 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 04:52 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |