Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kasper shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.9% vs Kasper 50.0% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 90.3%
Defensive zone
Horvat 67.6%
Neutral zone
Horvat 86.5%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 76.7%
76.7%
23.3%
Horvat
Kasper
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Horvat
Kasper
Last 5: Horvat 4-1 Kasper
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Kasper
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Kasper
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Kasper
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (713)
51.4% (366)
+4.0%
Power Play
63.2% (242)
33.3% (9)
+29.9%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (104)
31.6% (19)
+16.5%
On power play, Horvat has a +29.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kasper shoots left. Horvat is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (616).
Horvat shoots left. Kasper is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Home / Away
Horvat
Kasper
Home
59.0% (515)
51.5% (194)
Away
54.0% (544)
48.5% (200)
By Period
Horvat
Kasper
P1
59.6%
54.1%
P2
53.9%
52.1%
P3
56.2%
43.4%
OT
55.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
59.6%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 04:19 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 15:53 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 14:20 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 03:12 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 03:02 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |