Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kasper shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Kasper 46.9% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 93.1%
Defensive zone
Horvat 92.7%
Neutral zone
Horvat 90.0%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 92.6%
92.6%
7.4%
Horvat
Kasper
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Horvat
Kasper
Last 9: Horvat 7-2 Kasper
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
1
Horvat
Kasper
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
1
Horvat
Kasper
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Kasper
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Kasper
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
47.2% (960)
+6.7%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
46.9% (32)
+14.2%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
30.6% (36)
+16.6%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kasper shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. Kasper is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (683).
Home / Away
Horvat
Kasper
Home
56.1% (8,423)
49.4% (474)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
44.2% (554)
By Period
Horvat
Kasper
P1
54.1%
48.0%
P2
54.5%
51.0%
P3
55.0%
40.2%
OT
49.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.2%
40.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 04:19 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 15:53 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 14:20 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 03:12 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 03:02 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 19:57 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 18:49 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 04:43 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 07:26 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |