Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 14 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Jankowski 50.4% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 19-13 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 85.2%
Defensive zone
Horvat 63.0%
Neutral zone
Horvat 74.5%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 75.6%
75.6%
24.4%
Horvat
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
13
(32 meetings)
19
13
Horvat
Jankowski
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
11
3
Horvat
Jankowski
14 total
Defensive Zone
Even
5
5
Horvat
Jankowski
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
3
5
Horvat
Jankowski
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
51.5% (3,490)
+2.4%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
53.7% (95)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
42.7% (534)
+4.5%
On power play, Horvat has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. Jankowski is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,549).
Home / Away
Horvat
Jankowski
Home
56.1% (8,423)
51.8% (1,961)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
49.1% (2,158)
By Period
Horvat
Jankowski
P1
54.1%
49.8%
P2
54.5%
51.1%
P3
55.0%
50.3%
OT
49.6%
20.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 12:51 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:29 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 16:38 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 10:17 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 13:40 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 13:33 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 10:01 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 02:41 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 01:00 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 00:43 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 08:45 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 2 | 17:56 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 3 | 02:40 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 14:46 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 14:42 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 2 | 08:36 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 15:25 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 00:29 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |