Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Peca on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Peca shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Peca 50.2% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Peca leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Peca 53.9%
Defensive zone
Peca 63.4%
Neutral zone
Peca 59.1%
Result
Matthew Peca favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Horvat
Peca
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Horvat
Peca
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Peca
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
1
Horvat
Peca
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Peca
2
5
Horvat
Peca
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Peca
1
2
Horvat
Peca
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Peca
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
51.5% (423)
+2.4%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
12.5% (8)
+48.6%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
44.2% (43)
+3.0%
On power play, Horvat has a +48.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peca shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. Peca is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Horvat
Peca
Home
56.1% (8,423)
46.1% (193)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
53.0% (281)
By Period
Horvat
Peca
P1
54.1%
56.6%
P2
54.5%
44.4%
P3
55.0%
50.3%
OT
49.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Peca
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2020 | 1 | 08:44 | Offensive | Matthew Peca |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 09:38 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |
| Nov 17, 2018 | 3 | 02:40 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 3 | 10:29 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 1 | 06:54 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 14:36 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 09:23 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 09:14 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 03:15 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 11:30 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 1 | 19:00 | Neutral | Matthew Peca |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 1 | 15:35 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 1 | 05:52 | Neutral | Matthew Peca |