Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Talbot shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Talbot 47.0% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 90.8%
Defensive zone
Horvat 60.7%
Neutral zone
Horvat 76.2%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 83.5%
83.5%
16.5%
Horvat
Talbot
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Horvat
Talbot
Last 6: Horvat 4-2 Talbot
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Talbot
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Talbot
1
2
Horvat
Talbot
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Talbot
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
48.3% (1,738)
+5.6%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
49.0% (51)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
42.3% (631)
+4.9%
On power play, Horvat has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Talbot shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. Talbot is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,539).
Home / Away
Horvat
Talbot
Home
56.1% (8,423)
48.0% (1,219)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
45.8% (1,215)
By Period
Horvat
Talbot
P1
54.1%
48.7%
P2
54.5%
43.5%
P3
55.0%
48.6%
OT
49.6%
45.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2016 | 3 | 19:37 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 18:44 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 12:45 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 12:39 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 1 | 00:08 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Talbot |