Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Chaput shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Chaput 51.5% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 87.2%
Defensive zone
Horvat 68.3%
Neutral zone
Horvat 69.8%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 72.1%
72.1%
27.9%
Horvat
Chaput
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Horvat
Chaput
Last 7: Horvat 5-2 Chaput
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Chaput
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Chaput
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
2
Horvat
Chaput
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Chaput
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
52.2% (1,168)
+1.7%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
42.9% (14)
+18.2%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
42.9% (70)
+4.3%
On power play, Horvat has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chaput shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. Chaput is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (804).
Home / Away
Horvat
Chaput
Home
56.1% (8,423)
53.5% (602)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
49.8% (650)
By Period
Horvat
Chaput
P1
54.1%
48.6%
P2
54.5%
51.6%
P3
55.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2019 | 3 | 15:49 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 3 | 03:10 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 3 | 02:45 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 1 | 06:48 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 1 | 00:09 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |