Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Raffl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Raffl 49.7% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 59.0%
Defensive zone
Horvat 87.0%
Neutral zone
Horvat 70.9%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 76.5%
76.5%
23.5%
Horvat
Raffl
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Horvat
Raffl
Last 8: Horvat 5-3 Raffl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Raffl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
2
Horvat
Raffl
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Raffl
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
49.1% (597)
+4.8%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
48.1% (27)
+13.0%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
58.5% (41)
-11.3%
On power play, Horvat has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Raffl shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. Raffl is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (438).
Home / Away
Horvat
Raffl
Home
56.1% (8,423)
51.1% (305)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
48.3% (360)
By Period
Horvat
Raffl
P1
54.1%
51.6%
P2
54.5%
48.4%
P3
55.0%
49.2%
OT
49.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Raffl
56.0%▲
50.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2019 | 3 | 09:42 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 2 | 15:12 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 1 | 10:09 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 1 | 01:44 | Offensive | Michael Raffl |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 04:21 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 21, 2017 | 3 | 12:39 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 21, 2017 | 3 | 04:13 | Defensive | Michael Raffl |
| Nov 21, 2017 | 3 | 04:07 | Defensive | Michael Raffl |