Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 28 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Thompson 52.9% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 38-34 in 72 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 76.1%
Defensive zone
Thompson 64.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 54.4%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Horvat
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
38
-
34
(72 meetings)
38
34
Horvat
Thompson
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
18
10
Horvat
Thompson
28 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
11
17
Horvat
Thompson
28 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
9
7
Horvat
Thompson
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
54.1% (5,812)
-0.2%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
54.8% (135)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
47.9% (1,381)
-0.7%
On power play, Horvat has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Home / Away
Horvat
Thompson
Home
56.1% (8,423)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Horvat
Thompson
P1
54.1%
53.2%
P2
54.5%
52.9%
P3
55.0%
52.8%
OT
49.6%
47.9%
Final 5 min
55.2%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2021 | 3 | 12:21 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 15, 2021 | 2 | 18:50 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 15, 2021 | 1 | 19:07 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 15, 2021 | 1 | 07:23 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 15, 2021 | 1 | 07:12 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| May 11, 2021 | 3 | 11:54 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| May 11, 2021 | 1 | 10:56 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| May 11, 2021 | 1 | 09:03 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 12:27 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| May 10, 2021 | 1 | 07:36 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| May 10, 2021 | 1 | 05:10 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 03:34 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 17:06 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 02:56 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 2 | 10:47 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 3 | 18:26 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 3 | 09:18 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 3 | 03:25 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 2 | 05:52 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 13:18 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |