Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 22 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Bonino 50.0% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 40-31 in 71 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 89.1%
Defensive zone
Horvat 67.4%
Neutral zone
Horvat 78.9%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 77.7%
77.7%
22.3%
Horvat
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
40
-
31
(71 meetings)
40
31
Horvat
Bonino
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
17
5
Horvat
Bonino
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
15
12
Horvat
Bonino
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
8
14
Horvat
Bonino
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
50.6% (8,315)
+3.3%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
54.1% (972)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
44.6% (1,693)
+2.6%
On power play, Horvat has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Horvat
Bonino
Home
56.1% (8,423)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Horvat
Bonino
P1
54.1%
50.6%
P2
54.5%
48.5%
P3
55.0%
51.1%
OT
49.6%
45.7%
Final 5 min
55.2%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 10:45 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 09:47 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 03:39 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 03:42 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 13:02 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 04:44 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 3 | 12:04 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 3 | 05:09 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 3 | 02:45 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 17:36 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 09:43 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 1 | 10:12 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 3 | 04:32 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 2 | 11:43 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 1 | 19:58 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 11:22 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 10:10 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 18:26 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 16:59 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |