Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Backstrom 50.5% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 20-15 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 64.7%
Defensive zone
Horvat 81.8%
Neutral zone
Horvat 67.9%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Horvat
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
15
(35 meetings)
20
15
Horvat
Backstrom
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
6
6
Horvat
Backstrom
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
9
7
Horvat
Backstrom
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
2
Horvat
Backstrom
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
50.4% (11,581)
+3.5%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
52.3% (1,895)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
47.0% (889)
+0.2%
On power play, Horvat has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. Backstrom is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (8,966).
Home / Away
Horvat
Backstrom
Home
56.1% (8,423)
52.6% (7,223)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
48.4% (7,173)
By Period
Horvat
Backstrom
P1
54.1%
50.1%
P2
54.5%
49.7%
P3
55.0%
51.6%
OT
49.6%
52.9%
Final 5 min
55.2%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 00:52 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 16:22 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 00:59 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 29, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 2 | 18:31 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 29, 2023 | 1 | 06:47 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 10:15 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 09:47 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 1 | 03:07 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 16, 2022 | 3 | 17:40 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 16, 2022 | 1 | 08:53 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 25, 2019 | OT | 03:58 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 3 | 19:59 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 3 | 19:52 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 3 | 19:43 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 3 | 17:01 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 3 | 09:53 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 18:38 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |