Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 63 meetings). Horvat wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Bergeron 59.2% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 85-64 in 149 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 79.9%
Defensive zone
Horvat 74.9%
Neutral zone
Horvat 83.3%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 79.1%
79.1%
20.9%
Horvat
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
64
-
85
(149 meetings)
64
85
Horvat
Bergeron
Last 10: Horvat 2-8 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
21
42
Horvat
Bergeron
63 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
27
22
Horvat
Bergeron
49 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
16
21
Horvat
Bergeron
37 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
60.1% (13,938)
-6.2%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
60.8% (3,213)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
53.0% (2,776)
-5.8%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Horvat is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (6,120).
Horvat shoots left. Bergeron is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (13,273).
Home / Away
Horvat
Bergeron
Home
56.1% (8,423)
61.2% (10,028)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
57.3% (9,930)
By Period
Horvat
Bergeron
P1
54.1%
59.3%
P2
54.5%
60.0%
P3
55.0%
58.6%
OT
49.6%
57.9%
Final 5 min
55.2%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 18:31 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 07:46 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 07:42 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 03:38 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 02:14 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 07:28 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 01:40 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 16:37 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 13:41 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 12:02 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 06:30 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 2 | 17:10 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 2 | 14:48 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 2 | 09:20 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 15:35 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 11:10 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 11:05 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 08:23 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |