Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 15 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Marleau shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Marleau 50.9% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 19-9 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 87.8%
Defensive zone
Horvat 85.2%
Neutral zone
Horvat 84.3%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 85.8%
85.8%
14.2%
Horvat
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
9
(28 meetings)
19
9
Horvat
Marleau
Last 10: Horvat 8-2 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
3
5
Horvat
Marleau
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
12
3
Horvat
Marleau
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
1
Horvat
Marleau
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,637)
50.3% (2,656)
+3.6%
Power Play
61.1% (2,711)
55.7% (332)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,497)
50.7% (452)
-3.5%
On power play, Horvat has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,730).
Horvat shoots left. Marleau is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,061).
Home / Away
Horvat
Marleau
Home
56.1% (8,401)
53.3% (1,735)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
48.5% (1,715)
By Period
Horvat
Marleau
P1
54.1%
52.2%
P2
54.4%
49.5%
P3
55.0%
50.7%
OT
49.6%
55.1%
Final 5 min
55.2%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
66.0%▲
56.5%
54.5%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2020 | 3 | 17:01 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 3 | 08:42 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 1 | 16:39 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 1 | 11:08 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 11:07 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 6, 2019 | OT | 01:48 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 6, 2019 | 1 | 08:04 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 2 | 08:31 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 2 | 01:33 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 1 | 18:32 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 1 | 18:20 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 04:10 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3 | 16:03 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 06:36 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 3 | 06:50 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 1 | 15:36 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 1 | 07:12 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 1 | 17:00 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 1 | 16:54 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |