Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 55.1%). Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 48 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Stastny 55.1% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 65-46 in 111 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 55.0%
Defensive zone
Horvat 51.3%
Neutral zone
Stastny 55.0%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Horvat
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
46
-
65
(111 meetings)
46
65
Horvat
Stastny
Last 10: Horvat 4-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
11
37
Horvat
Stastny
48 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
19
12
Horvat
Stastny
31 total
Neutral Zone
Even
16
16
Horvat
Stastny
32 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
54.6% (10,616)
-0.7%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
59.1% (1,994)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
52.9% (1,119)
-5.7%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Horvat
Stastny
Home
56.1% (8,423)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Horvat
Stastny
P1
54.1%
56.3%
P2
54.5%
55.4%
P3
55.0%
53.5%
OT
49.6%
62.9%
Final 5 min
55.2%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2021 | 3 | 10:26 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| May 11, 2021 | 3 | 15:42 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| May 11, 2021 | 3 | 14:17 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| May 11, 2021 | 3 | 07:57 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| May 11, 2021 | 2 | 18:31 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| May 11, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 19:58 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 19:19 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 18:29 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 15:36 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 15:04 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 10:10 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 2 | 08:59 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 2 | 06:49 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 2 | 04:35 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 2 | 02:39 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 1 | 06:09 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 1 | 05:43 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 1 | 02:38 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |