Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubois on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Dubois 49.0% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Dubois leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Dubois 76.8%
Defensive zone
Dubois 69.5%
Neutral zone
Dubois 72.2%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 73.9%
26.1%
73.9%
Horvat
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
11
(17 meetings)
6
11
Horvat
Dubois
Last 10: Horvat 2-8 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
1
7
Horvat
Dubois
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Dubois
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubois
2
4
Horvat
Dubois
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
48.7% (809)
+6.0%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
50.9% (163)
+16.1%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
37.5% (16)
+14.6%
On power play, Horvat has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Horvat shoots left. Dubois is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Home / Away
Horvat
Dubois
Home
59.8% (853)
50.5% (497)
Away
53.8% (832)
47.3% (491)
By Period
Horvat
Dubois
P1
55.0%
49.0%
P2
58.3%
48.2%
P3
57.8%
49.1%
OT
44.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
59.4%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
42.0%▼
53.5%
56.9%
Dubois
42.0%▼
47.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 15:08 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 22, 2023 | 3 | 19:14 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 22, 2023 | 3 | 11:32 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 22, 2023 | 3 | 06:16 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 22, 2023 | 3 | 02:49 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 22, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 22, 2023 | 2 | 18:39 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 22, 2023 | 2 | 03:24 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 22, 2023 | 2 | 01:08 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 19:47 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 14:49 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 14:45 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 14:36 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 08:38 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 17:48 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 16:40 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 16:21 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |