Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Horvat wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.9% vs Thomas 51.7% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 90.0%
Defensive zone
Horvat 70.6%
Neutral zone
Horvat 70.5%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 83.5%
83.5%
16.5%
Horvat
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Horvat
Thomas
Last 9: Horvat 7-2 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
0
Horvat
Thomas
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
2
Horvat
Thomas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (713)
50.2% (635)
+5.2%
Power Play
63.2% (242)
61.0% (100)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (104)
53.4% (118)
-5.3%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Horvat is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (442).
Horvat shoots left. Thomas is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (598).
Home / Away
Horvat
Thomas
Home
59.0% (515)
52.0% (400)
Away
54.0% (544)
51.9% (453)
By Period
Horvat
Thomas
P1
59.6%
49.4%
P2
53.9%
55.2%
P3
56.2%
50.7%
OT
55.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
59.6%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Thomas
48.0%▲
45.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 04:16 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 18:56 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 18:41 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 17:54 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 07:18 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:40 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 17:06 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 04:26 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |