Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Horvat wins 57.9% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.1% vs Thomas 51.9% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 87.5%
Defensive zone
Horvat 63.5%
Neutral zone
Horvat 63.4%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 79.5%
79.5%
20.5%
Horvat
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Horvat
Thomas
Last 9: Horvat 7-2 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
0
Horvat
Thomas
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
2
Horvat
Thomas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (731)
50.3% (652)
+5.4%
Power Play
63.4% (243)
61.5% (104)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (107)
54.2% (120)
-5.6%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Horvat is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Horvat shoots left. Thomas is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Horvat
Thomas
Home
59.4% (537)
52.0% (400)
Away
54.0% (544)
52.3% (476)
By Period
Horvat
Thomas
P1
59.9%
49.6%
P2
54.5%
55.4%
P3
56.1%
51.0%
OT
55.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
59.4%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
56.7%
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 04:16 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 18:56 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 18:41 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 17:54 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 07:18 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:40 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 17:06 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 04:26 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |