Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 20 meetings). Horvat wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Thomas 51.6% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 32-22 in 54 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 71.1%
Defensive zone
Horvat 79.6%
Neutral zone
Horvat 67.1%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 72.5%
72.5%
27.5%
Horvat
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
22
(54 meetings)
32
22
Horvat
Thomas
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
15
5
Horvat
Thomas
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
11
6
Horvat
Thomas
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
6
11
Horvat
Thomas
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
51.1% (5,387)
+2.8%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
55.8% (927)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
50.2% (697)
-3.0%
On power play, Horvat has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Horvat is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (6,120).
Horvat shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,967).
Home / Away
Horvat
Thomas
Home
56.1% (8,423)
50.9% (3,484)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
52.3% (3,527)
By Period
Horvat
Thomas
P1
54.1%
50.7%
P2
54.5%
53.0%
P3
55.0%
50.8%
OT
49.6%
59.2%
Final 5 min
55.2%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 04:16 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 18:56 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 18:41 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 17:54 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 07:18 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:40 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 17:06 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 04:26 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 10:32 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 07:18 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 17:40 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 14:51 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 12:12 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 03:57 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 17:48 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 17:43 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 17, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |