Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Chartier on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Chartier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Chartier 50.0% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chartier 65.3%
Defensive zone
Chartier 80.9%
Neutral zone
Chartier 80.5%
Result
Rourke Chartier favored at 77.7%
22.3%
77.7%
Horvat
Chartier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Horvat
Chartier
Last 5: Horvat 1-4 Chartier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Chartier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chartier
0
3
Horvat
Chartier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chartier
0
1
Horvat
Chartier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Chartier
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
50.8% (329)
+3.1%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
66.7% (6)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
45.6% (79)
+1.6%
On power play, Chartier has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chartier shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. Chartier is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (277).
Home / Away
Horvat
Chartier
Home
56.1% (8,423)
48.3% (240)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
52.3% (174)
By Period
Horvat
Chartier
P1
54.1%
51.5%
P2
54.5%
48.1%
P3
55.0%
50.3%
Final 5 min
55.2%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Chartier
60.0%▲
50.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 10:25 | Neutral | Rourke Chartier |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 11:17 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 09:30 | Defensive | Rourke Chartier |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 05:48 | Defensive | Rourke Chartier |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 06:37 | Defensive | Rourke Chartier |