Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 62.2% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.5% vs Carpenter 52.2% (+2.9%)
Offensive zone
Carpenter 55.6%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 53.7%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 54.0%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Horvat
Carpenter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,126)
53.1% (113)
+1.6%
Power Play
67.0% (342)
100.0% (1)
-33.0%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (217)
60.0% (10)
-7.9%
On power play, Carpenter has a +33.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Horvat is 62.2% vs right-shot opponents (574).
Horvat shoots left. Carpenter is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Horvat
Carpenter
Home
59.8% (853)
58.5% (65)
Away
53.8% (832)
49.2% (59)
By Period
Horvat
Carpenter
P1
55.0%
65.8%
P2
58.3%
50.0%
P3
57.8%
47.9%
Final 5 min
59.4%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
42.0%▼
53.5%
56.9%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
54.0%