Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 66 meetings). Horvat wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Johansen 53.3% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 94-68 in 162 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 71.9%
Defensive zone
Johansen 66.4%
Neutral zone
Johansen 70.3%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 70.1%
29.9%
70.1%
Horvat
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
68
-
94
(162 meetings)
68
94
Horvat
Johansen
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
22
44
Horvat
Johansen
66 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
21
15
Horvat
Johansen
36 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
25
35
Horvat
Johansen
60 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
53.1% (11,017)
+0.8%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
56.2% (2,163)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
50.5% (978)
-3.3%
On power play, Horvat has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Horvat is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (6,120).
Horvat shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Horvat
Johansen
Home
56.1% (8,423)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Horvat
Johansen
P1
54.1%
53.2%
P2
54.5%
53.9%
P3
55.0%
52.8%
OT
49.6%
58.2%
Final 5 min
55.2%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 08:53 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 01:09 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 19:13 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 10:06 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 07:37 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 19:31 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 11:31 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 15:05 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 5, 2022 | OT | 03:54 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 5, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 16:10 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 16:03 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 12:04 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 01:35 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 18:17 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 13:43 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 06:45 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 06:20 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 06:08 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |