Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Horvat wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 56.1% vs Bennett 48.2% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Bennett leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 66.3%
Defensive zone
Bennett 70.5%
Neutral zone
Bennett 72.7%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 68.4%
31.6%
68.4%
Horvat
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Horvat
Bennett
Last 10: Horvat 4-6 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
2
4
Horvat
Bennett
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Bennett
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Bennett
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (731)
46.4% (811)
+9.3%
Power Play
63.4% (243)
56.9% (153)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (107)
47.8% (46)
+0.8%
On even strength, Horvat has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Horvat is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (633).
Horvat shoots left. Bennett is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (679).
Home / Away
Horvat
Bennett
Home
59.4% (537)
49.9% (553)
Away
54.0% (544)
45.7% (457)
By Period
Horvat
Bennett
P1
59.9%
47.4%
P2
54.5%
46.8%
P3
56.1%
48.9%
OT
55.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
56.7%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 11:23 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 07:47 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 11:11 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 06:28 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 19:30 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 11:37 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 08:41 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 19:27 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 13:40 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |