Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Horvat wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Gagner 46.0% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 71.2%
Defensive zone
Horvat 91.2%
Neutral zone
Horvat 85.8%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 82.2%
82.2%
17.8%
Horvat
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
9
(23 meetings)
14
9
Horvat
Gagner
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
4
Horvat
Gagner
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
7
2
Horvat
Gagner
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gagner
2
3
Horvat
Gagner
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
45.4% (4,699)
+8.5%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
51.5% (928)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
35.0% (226)
+12.2%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Horvat is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (6,120).
Horvat shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Horvat
Gagner
Home
56.1% (8,423)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Horvat
Gagner
P1
54.1%
44.6%
P2
54.5%
46.1%
P3
55.0%
47.3%
OT
49.6%
42.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 12:29 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 03:05 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 14:17 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 08:16 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 17:18 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 10:25 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 19:10 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 3 | 19:20 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 1 | 13:32 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 1 | 11:41 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 1 | 03:31 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 1 | 01:04 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 2 | 11:48 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 2 | 00:35 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 3 | 03:08 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 3 | 02:58 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 2 | 06:48 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 1 | 03:46 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |