Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Horvat wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Lafferty 47.5% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 14-4 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 98.5%
Defensive zone
Horvat 84.7%
Neutral zone
Horvat 92.5%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 92.9%
92.9%
7.1%
Horvat
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
4
(18 meetings)
14
4
Horvat
Lafferty
Last 10: Horvat 9-1 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
7
2
Horvat
Lafferty
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
2
Horvat
Lafferty
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Lafferty
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
47.9% (1,417)
+6.0%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
45.7% (46)
+15.4%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
43.5% (184)
+3.7%
On power play, Horvat has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Horvat is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (6,120).
Horvat shoots left. Lafferty is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,252).
Home / Away
Horvat
Lafferty
Home
56.1% (8,423)
47.3% (833)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
47.4% (814)
By Period
Horvat
Lafferty
P1
54.1%
49.4%
P2
54.5%
43.1%
P3
55.0%
49.6%
OT
49.6%
60.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Lafferty
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 07:21 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 09:14 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 2 | 04:39 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 12:29 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 16:25 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 03:55 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 11:01 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 01:32 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 15:53 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 07:50 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 19:04 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 08:13 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 01:07 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 12:51 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 04:31 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 00:28 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 10:49 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |