Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.9% vs Couturier 53.6% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 83.8%
Defensive zone
Couturier 61.3%
Neutral zone
Horvat 64.8%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Horvat
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
8
(20 meetings)
12
8
Horvat
Couturier
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
1
Horvat
Couturier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
3
4
Horvat
Couturier
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
3
Horvat
Couturier
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (713)
53.9% (792)
+1.5%
Power Play
63.2% (242)
62.9% (70)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (104)
51.3% (234)
-3.2%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Horvat is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (616).
Horvat shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Horvat
Couturier
Home
59.0% (515)
51.4% (541)
Away
54.0% (544)
56.4% (555)
By Period
Horvat
Couturier
P1
59.6%
56.0%
P2
53.9%
52.6%
P3
56.2%
54.3%
OT
55.0%
44.1%
Final 5 min
59.6%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 03:23 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 03:15 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 11:09 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 05:41 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 28, 2025 | OT | 04:58 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 13:20 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 19:39 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 13:35 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:10 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 04:15 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 25, 2025 | OT | 01:33 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 10:53 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 07:32 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 19:35 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 10:36 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 10:29 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:20 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |