Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 43 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Couturier 52.6% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 73-54 in 127 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 70.0%
Defensive zone
Couturier 50.8%
Neutral zone
Horvat 61.6%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Horvat
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
73
-
54
(127 meetings)
73
54
Horvat
Couturier
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
28
15
Horvat
Couturier
43 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
20
22
Horvat
Couturier
42 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
25
17
Horvat
Couturier
42 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
52.5% (11,097)
+1.4%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
59.7% (1,280)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
48.5% (1,823)
-1.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (8,936).
Home / Away
Horvat
Couturier
Home
56.1% (8,423)
53.4% (7,171)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
51.8% (7,036)
By Period
Horvat
Couturier
P1
54.1%
52.6%
P2
54.5%
52.6%
P3
55.0%
52.9%
OT
49.6%
49.6%
Final 5 min
55.2%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 03:23 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 03:15 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 11:09 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 05:41 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 28, 2025 | OT | 04:58 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 13:20 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 19:39 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 13:35 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:10 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 04:15 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 25, 2025 | OT | 01:33 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 10:53 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 07:32 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 19:35 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 10:36 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 10:29 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:20 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |