Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 24 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Aho 51.3% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 29-28 in 57 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 69.9%
Defensive zone
Horvat 63.9%
Neutral zone
Aho 55.6%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Horvat
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
29
(57 meetings)
28
29
Horvat
Aho
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
8
16
Horvat
Aho
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
11
6
Horvat
Aho
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
9
7
Horvat
Aho
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
50.2% (6,646)
+3.7%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
58.9% (1,310)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
46.5% (465)
+0.7%
On even strength, Horvat has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. Aho is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,317).
Home / Away
Horvat
Aho
Home
56.1% (8,423)
52.4% (4,325)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
50.1% (4,096)
By Period
Horvat
Aho
P1
54.1%
51.1%
P2
54.5%
52.1%
P3
55.0%
50.8%
OT
49.6%
48.9%
Final 5 min
55.2%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 04:10 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 07:29 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 08:12 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 18:44 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 00:17 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 16:47 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 14:32 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 19:11 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 01:35 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 13:31 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 09:29 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 18:07 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 02:39 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 02:30 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 18:52 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 00:36 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 06:48 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 04:49 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |