Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kalinin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Kalinin 43.0% (+13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 94.8%
Defensive zone
Horvat 88.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 91.0%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 89.8%
89.8%
10.2%
Horvat
Kalinin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Horvat
Kalinin
Last 5: Horvat 4-1 Kalinin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Kalinin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Kalinin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Kalinin
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
41.9% (453)
+12.0%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
33.3% (18)
+27.8%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
40.0% (25)
+7.2%
On power play, Horvat has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kalinin shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. Kalinin is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Horvat
Kalinin
Home
56.1% (8,423)
42.8% (285)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
39.8% (211)
By Period
Horvat
Kalinin
P1
54.1%
43.8%
P2
54.5%
40.6%
P3
55.0%
40.1%
Final 5 min
55.2%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Kalinin
44.0%▲
40.5%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2016 | 3 | 14:50 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 6, 2016 | 3 | 02:44 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 6, 2016 | 2 | 01:10 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 6, 2016 | 1 | 17:16 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 6, 2016 | 1 | 10:27 | Neutral | Sergey Kalinin |