Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Horvat wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Jarvis 42.5% (+13.2%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 89.3%
Defensive zone
Horvat 92.6%
Neutral zone
Horvat 91.0%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 90.4%
90.4%
9.6%
Horvat
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Horvat
Jarvis
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
6
2
Horvat
Jarvis
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Horvat
Jarvis
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
41.8% (354)
+12.1%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
43.7% (119)
+17.4%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
38.2% (157)
+9.0%
On power play, Horvat has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Horvat is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (6,120).
Horvat shoots left. Jarvis is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Horvat
Jarvis
Home
56.1% (8,423)
43.8% (336)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
38.4% (294)
By Period
Horvat
Jarvis
P1
54.1%
39.5%
P2
54.5%
39.5%
P3
55.0%
45.8%
OT
49.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.2%
38.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
41.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 13:02 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:42 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 17:26 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 14:06 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 09:34 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 13:30 | Defensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 15:46 | Offensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 16:25 | Defensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 14:11 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 04:34 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 01:11 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 19:15 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |