Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (87% H2H, 23 meetings). Horvat wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Pinto 50.4% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 28-15 in 43 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 95.9%
Defensive zone
Horvat 77.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 86.1%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 88.8%
88.8%
11.2%
Horvat
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
15
(43 meetings)
28
15
Horvat
Pinto
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
20
3
Horvat
Pinto
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
3
9
Horvat
Pinto
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
3
Horvat
Pinto
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
50.7% (2,752)
+3.2%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
54.4% (90)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
45.6% (239)
+1.6%
On power play, Horvat has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Horvat is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (6,120).
Horvat shoots left. Pinto is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,216).
Home / Away
Horvat
Pinto
Home
56.1% (8,423)
51.1% (1,510)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
49.6% (1,571)
By Period
Horvat
Pinto
P1
54.1%
48.4%
P2
54.5%
51.9%
P3
55.0%
50.9%
OT
49.6%
46.7%
Final 5 min
55.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 03:36 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 10:27 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 09:23 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 01:59 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 18:22 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 17:58 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 07:44 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 16:21 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 16:14 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 08:28 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 05:05 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 15:56 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 01:27 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 15:17 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 12:09 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 06:50 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 03:01 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 11:46 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 08:19 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |