Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (74% H2H, 31 meetings). Horvat wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Thompson 42.8% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 53-23 in 76 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 98.0%
Defensive zone
Horvat 98.2%
Neutral zone
Horvat 97.2%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 97.7%
97.7%
2.3%
Horvat
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
53
-
23
(76 meetings)
53
23
Horvat
Thompson
Last 10: Horvat 7-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
14
4
Horvat
Thompson
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
16
11
Horvat
Thompson
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
23
8
Horvat
Thompson
31 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,637)
42.9% (3,540)
+11.0%
Power Play
61.1% (2,711)
46.9% (373)
+14.2%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,497)
33.6% (265)
+13.6%
On power play, Horvat has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Horvat is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (6,115).
Horvat shoots left. Thompson is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,029).
Home / Away
Horvat
Thompson
Home
56.1% (8,401)
44.8% (2,135)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Horvat
Thompson
P1
54.1%
44.4%
P2
54.4%
43.7%
P3
55.0%
40.0%
OT
49.6%
36.4%
Final 5 min
55.2%
40.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
66.0%▲
56.5%
54.5%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 01:15 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 15:58 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 15:48 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 02:45 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 18:41 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 15:49 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 06:21 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 09:51 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 02:07 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 14:47 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 09:18 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 07:23 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 04:14 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 00:50 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 00:42 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 17:22 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |