Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.5% vs 56.5%). Horvat wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Washe shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.9% vs Washe 54.9% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 74.3%
Defensive zone
Washe 76.3%
Neutral zone
Washe 61.9%
Result
Tim Washe favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Horvat
Washe
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Horvat
Washe
Last 5: Horvat 2-3 Washe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Washe
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Washe
0
2
Horvat
Washe
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Washe
0
1
Horvat
Washe
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Washe
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (713)
59.2% (250)
-3.8%
Power Play
63.2% (242)
100.0% (3)
-36.8%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (104)
41.8% (55)
+6.3%
On power play, Washe has a +36.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Washe shoots left. Horvat is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (616).
Horvat shoots left. Washe is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Home / Away
Horvat
Washe
Home
59.0% (515)
62.0% (129)
Away
54.0% (544)
52.5% (179)
By Period
Horvat
Washe
P1
59.6%
57.7%
P2
53.9%
60.4%
P3
56.2%
53.4%
OT
55.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.6%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Washe
50.0%▼
57.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 13:48 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 19:31 | Defensive | Tim Washe |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 18:28 | Defensive | Tim Washe |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 12:56 | Neutral | Tim Washe |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 03:49 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |