Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 53.7%). Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Nosek 53.6% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 17-10 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 83.0%
Defensive zone
Horvat 54.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 66.1%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 71.6%
71.6%
28.4%
Horvat
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
10
(27 meetings)
17
10
Horvat
Nosek
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
10
3
Horvat
Nosek
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
2
4
Horvat
Nosek
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
3
Horvat
Nosek
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
54.9% (2,710)
-1.0%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
45.8% (48)
+15.3%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
47.2% (428)
+0.0%
On power play, Horvat has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. Nosek is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,959).
Home / Away
Horvat
Nosek
Home
56.1% (8,423)
52.8% (1,656)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
54.7% (1,530)
By Period
Horvat
Nosek
P1
54.1%
52.2%
P2
54.5%
54.1%
P3
55.0%
54.7%
OT
49.6%
75.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 02:21 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 17:04 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 17:19 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 3 | 12:14 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 3 | 07:07 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 18:28 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 18:27 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 05:15 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 04:38 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 09:17 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 19:48 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 19:28 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 19:14 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 16:36 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 11:33 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 3 | 08:45 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 2 | 06:54 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 12:12 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |