Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Jost on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Jost 40.5% (+14.4%)
H2H factor
Jost leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Jost 67.9%
Defensive zone
Jost 76.6%
Neutral zone
Jost 77.8%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 74.4%
25.6%
74.4%
Horvat
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Horvat
Jost
Last 10: Horvat 3-7 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jost
1
3
Horvat
Jost
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jost
1
3
Horvat
Jost
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
2
Horvat
Jost
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
41.0% (2,016)
+12.9%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
34.2% (73)
+26.9%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
35.2% (256)
+12.0%
On power play, Horvat has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. Jost is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,469).
Home / Away
Horvat
Jost
Home
56.1% (8,423)
41.9% (1,240)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
38.1% (1,105)
By Period
Horvat
Jost
P1
54.1%
38.5%
P2
54.5%
41.1%
P3
55.0%
40.9%
OT
49.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 07:46 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 17:54 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 15:01 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 10:47 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 11:30 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 13:41 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 06:37 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 3 | 15:52 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 2 | 14:34 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 1 | 02:38 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 1 | 08:47 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 1 | 08:43 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 1 | 02:26 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |