Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Girgensons on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Girgensons 45.4% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Girgensons leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 60.8%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 61.0%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 60.5%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Horvat
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
11
(21 meetings)
10
11
Horvat
Girgensons
Last 10: Horvat 5-5 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
5
4
Horvat
Girgensons
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
3
5
Horvat
Girgensons
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Horvat
Girgensons
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,655)
45.5% (2,718)
+8.4%
Power Play
61.1% (2,712)
49.1% (175)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,500)
42.2% (483)
+5.0%
On power play, Horvat has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,747).
Horvat shoots left. Girgensons is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,078).
Home / Away
Horvat
Girgensons
Home
56.1% (8,423)
45.5% (1,693)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
45.0% (1,683)
By Period
Horvat
Girgensons
P1
54.1%
45.8%
P2
54.5%
44.1%
P3
55.0%
45.7%
OT
49.6%
52.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
54.5%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 10:23 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 07:22 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 10:02 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 07:09 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 14:11 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 06:58 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 18:16 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 02:10 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 02:05 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 1 | 11:50 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 02:01 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 3 | 07:14 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 3 | 01:51 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 1 | 08:21 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 1 | 08:12 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 1 | 01:55 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 7, 2015 | 2 | 05:08 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 2 | 04:39 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 1 | 09:52 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 1 | 07:00 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |