Scouting Report
Trevor Zegras holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 39.7% vs Zegras 39.5% (-1.3%)
Offensive zone
Ryan 52.8%
Defensive zone
Ryan 51.6%
Neutral zone
Ryan 51.0%
Result
Bobby Ryan favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Ryan
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
38.1% (386)
39.0% (1,703)
-0.9%
Power Play
41.9% (62)
38.5% (148)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
21.4% (28)
25.0% (8)
-3.6%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Ryan is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (367).
Ryan shoots right. Zegras is 38.3% vs right-shot opponents (605).
Home / Away
Ryan
Zegras
Home
38.3% (287)
40.5% (908)
Away
36.4% (195)
37.3% (951)
By Period
Ryan
Zegras
P1
34.2%
40.0%
P2
39.7%
38.6%
P3
38.6%
38.2%
OT
55.6%
31.6%
Final 5 min
35.3%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
36.0%▼
38.0%
37.6%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
38.9%