Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Nieves wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nieves 43.8% vs McCarron 52.6% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nieves 85.8%
Defensive zone
Nieves 72.9%
Neutral zone
Nieves 73.4%
Result
Boo Nieves favored at 80.7%
80.7%
19.3%
Nieves
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Nieves
McCarron
Last 5: Nieves 0-5 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
3
Nieves
McCarron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Nieves
McCarron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Nieves
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nieves
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (457)
53.3% (2,926)
-10.2%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
45.3% (86)
+29.7%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (14)
50.1% (469)
-35.8%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +35.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Nieves is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Nieves shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,425).
Home / Away
Nieves
McCarron
Home
48.3% (230)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
37.1% (245)
53.1% (1,785)
By Period
Nieves
McCarron
P1
41.1%
53.8%
P2
44.6%
52.3%
P3
41.4%
51.9%
Final 5 min
41.3%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nieves
50.0%▲
40.5%
42.5%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2017 | 3 | 01:48 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 02:21 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 11:57 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 09:10 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 01:51 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |