Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +16.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Jenner wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hagel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Hagel 40.3% (+16.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 81.7%
Defensive zone
Jenner 98.0%
Neutral zone
Jenner 94.4%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 91.0%
91.0%
9.0%
Jenner
Hagel
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Jenner
Hagel
Last 9: Jenner 8-1 Hagel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
1
Jenner
Hagel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
0
Jenner
Hagel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
4
0
Jenner
Hagel
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Hagel
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,228)
37.0% (246)
+17.5%
Power Play
55.8% (1,148)
48.0% (25)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (1,001)
30.6% (36)
+17.8%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hagel shoots left. Jenner is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,209).
Jenner shoots left. Hagel is 35.7% vs left-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Jenner
Hagel
Home
54.5% (4,073)
38.4% (159)
Away
53.4% (4,304)
35.8% (148)
By Period
Jenner
Hagel
P1
53.6%
35.7%
P2
53.6%
34.9%
P3
54.5%
40.9%
OT
54.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
28.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
53.9%
Hagel
42.0%▲
37.5%
37.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 10:56 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 3 | 16:26 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 3 | 07:57 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 3 | 01:34 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 2 | 07:45 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 07:55 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 18:24 | Offensive | Brandon Hagel |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 04:05 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 1 | 17:18 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |