Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 51.1% vs McDavid 48.1% (+3.6%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 55.2%
Defensive zone
Jenner 51.9%
Neutral zone
McDavid 50.7%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Jenner
McDavid
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (265)
47.7% (686)
+3.6%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
49.3% (75)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
48.9% (45)
+1.1%
On power play, Jenner has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Jenner is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (215).
Jenner shoots left. McDavid is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (580).
Home / Away
Jenner
McDavid
Home
52.7% (165)
50.0% (412)
Away
50.0% (144)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Jenner
McDavid
P1
49.0%
48.0%
P2
45.0%
48.5%
P3
59.5%
47.1%
Final 5 min
55.4%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.5%
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.9%