Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Mercer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 51.1% vs Mercer 41.9% (+12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 66.6%
Defensive zone
Jenner 78.6%
Neutral zone
Jenner 69.6%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 66.6%
66.6%
33.4%
Jenner
Mercer
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Jenner
Mercer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Mercer
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (265)
38.8% (263)
+12.5%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
35.3% (17)
+18.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
54.5% (11)
-4.5%
On power play, Jenner has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Jenner is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Jenner shoots left. Mercer is 36.3% vs left-shot opponents (190).
Home / Away
Jenner
Mercer
Home
52.7% (165)
35.2% (145)
Away
50.0% (144)
43.2% (146)
By Period
Jenner
Mercer
P1
49.0%
32.7%
P2
45.0%
42.7%
P3
59.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
55.4%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.5%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 01:37 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |