Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 51.1% vs Lindholm 55.3% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 68.5%
Defensive zone
Jenner 66.4%
Neutral zone
Jenner 69.4%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 68.2%
68.2%
31.8%
Jenner
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Jenner
Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
2
Jenner
Lindholm
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Lindholm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
1
Jenner
Lindholm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (265)
54.8% (766)
-3.5%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
62.3% (175)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
52.2% (92)
-2.2%
On power play, Lindholm has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Jenner is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Jenner shoots left. Lindholm is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Jenner
Lindholm
Home
52.7% (165)
56.6% (578)
Away
50.0% (144)
54.9% (455)
By Period
Jenner
Lindholm
P1
49.0%
55.2%
P2
45.0%
56.3%
P3
59.5%
56.3%
Final 5 min
55.4%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.5%
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | 2 | 13:25 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 2 | 01:35 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 12:31 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 12:16 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |