Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Pettersson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 51.1% vs Pettersson 47.2% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 59.7%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 56.1%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 57.7%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Jenner
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Jenner
Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Pettersson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
0
2
Jenner
Pettersson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (265)
45.9% (834)
+5.4%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
55.1% (256)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
35.7% (112)
+14.3%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. Jenner is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (215).
Jenner shoots left. Pettersson is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (779).
Home / Away
Jenner
Pettersson
Home
52.7% (165)
49.1% (607)
Away
50.0% (144)
44.7% (595)
By Period
Jenner
Pettersson
P1
49.0%
45.5%
P2
45.0%
48.0%
P3
59.5%
47.1%
Final 5 min
55.4%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.5%
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 11:19 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 05:49 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 19:09 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |