Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Jenner wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Rodrigues shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Rodrigues 46.0% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 76.6%
Defensive zone
Jenner 86.3%
Neutral zone
Jenner 82.5%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 82.0%
82.0%
18.0%
Jenner
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
9
(23 meetings)
14
9
Jenner
Rodrigues
Last 10: Jenner 7-3 Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
4
5
Jenner
Rodrigues
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
9
2
Jenner
Rodrigues
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
2
Jenner
Rodrigues
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,228)
46.2% (2,897)
+8.3%
Power Play
55.8% (1,148)
44.8% (299)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (1,001)
42.7% (220)
+5.7%
On power play, Jenner has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Jenner is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,168).
Jenner shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,436).
Home / Away
Jenner
Rodrigues
Home
54.5% (4,073)
47.1% (1,836)
Away
53.4% (4,304)
44.4% (1,580)
By Period
Jenner
Rodrigues
P1
53.6%
46.9%
P2
53.6%
46.1%
P3
54.5%
44.4%
OT
54.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
53.9%
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 11:42 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 10:07 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 09:54 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 11:16 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:28 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:19 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 07:44 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:40 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:35 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 16:36 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 01:54 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:36 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 10:51 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 05:14 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 11:59 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 02:10 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 04:34 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 3 | 14:54 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 3 | 01:30 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 1 | 17:47 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |