Boone Jenner vs Frederick Gaudreau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 51.1% vs Gaudreau 43.9% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 52.0%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 89.3%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 72.1%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 80.7%
19.3%
80.7%
Jenner
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Jenner
Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
0
1
Jenner
Gaudreau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
0
1
Jenner
Gaudreau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (265)
44.9% (414)
+6.4%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
31.8% (22)
+22.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
38.0% (129)
+12.0%
On power play, Jenner has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Jenner is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Jenner shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Home / Away
Jenner
Gaudreau
Home
52.7% (165)
42.6% (277)
Away
50.0% (144)
43.1% (288)
By Period
Jenner
Gaudreau
P1
49.0%
44.1%
P2
45.0%
44.7%
P3
59.5%
39.5%
Final 5 min
55.4%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.5%
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 02:05 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 14:05 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |