Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +15.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 51.1% vs Hughes 39.5% (+15.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 88.1%
Defensive zone
Jenner 96.1%
Neutral zone
Jenner 87.2%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 91.3%
91.3%
8.7%
Jenner
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Jenner
Hughes
Last 5: Jenner 5-0 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
0
Jenner
Hughes
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
0
Jenner
Hughes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (265)
36.7% (305)
+14.6%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
14.3% (7)
+39.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
33.3% (6)
+16.7%
On power play, Jenner has a +39.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Jenner is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (215).
Jenner shoots left. Hughes is 33.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Jenner
Hughes
Home
52.7% (165)
35.8% (159)
Away
50.0% (144)
36.5% (159)
By Period
Jenner
Hughes
P1
49.0%
42.3%
P2
45.0%
28.2%
P3
59.5%
37.2%
Final 5 min
55.4%
27.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.5%
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 08:07 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 19:18 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 19:09 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 04:56 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |