Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Jenner wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs McBain 46.7% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 93.7%
Defensive zone
Jenner 86.4%
Neutral zone
Jenner 88.6%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 89.6%
89.6%
10.4%
Jenner
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
2
(11 meetings)
9
2
Jenner
McBain
Last 10: Jenner 8-2 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
0
Jenner
McBain
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jenner
McBain
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
5
1
Jenner
McBain
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,228)
48.1% (2,322)
+6.4%
Power Play
55.8% (1,148)
44.6% (56)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (1,001)
35.6% (309)
+12.8%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Jenner is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,209).
Jenner shoots left. McBain is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,692).
Home / Away
Jenner
McBain
Home
54.5% (4,073)
49.1% (1,379)
Away
53.4% (4,304)
44.0% (1,308)
By Period
Jenner
McBain
P1
53.6%
47.1%
P2
53.6%
47.4%
P3
54.5%
45.4%
OT
54.5%
37.5%
Final 5 min
52.3%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
53.9%
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2023 | 3 | 09:16 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 2 | 09:55 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 2 | 00:52 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 1 | 12:18 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 06:45 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 15:22 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 07:42 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 19:01 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 14:01 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 07:08 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |