Boone Jenner vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 51.1% vs Pageau 59.0% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 81.4%
Defensive zone
Jenner 51.6%
Neutral zone
Jenner 69.4%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Jenner
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Jenner
Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Pageau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
2
Jenner
Pageau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Jenner
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (265)
59.4% (726)
-8.1%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
69.0% (42)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
59.7% (221)
-9.7%
On power play, Pageau has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Jenner is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Jenner shoots left. Pageau is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Home / Away
Jenner
Pageau
Home
52.7% (165)
58.4% (430)
Away
50.0% (144)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Jenner
Pageau
P1
49.0%
55.4%
P2
45.0%
61.8%
P3
59.5%
61.5%
Final 5 min
55.4%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.5%
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 18:15 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 11:53 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 15:02 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 18:01 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |